North Metric

    What is Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR)?

    Your MRR projected to an annual figure — the metric investors, boards, and fundraising decks center on.

    SAAS METRIC · REVENUEBy Riyad Yahya

    What is ARR?

    Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) is your MRR multiplied by 12. It projects your current monthly subscription revenue to an annualized figure — the revenue you’d earn over the next 12 months if nothing changed.

    ARR is the strategic lens on the same data MRR shows operationally. While MRR tracks month-to-month changes, ARR frames your revenue at the scale investors, boards, and fundraising decks use. Common milestones — $100K ARR, $1M ARR, $10M ARR — are the markers that define SaaS growth stages.

    The ARR formula

    FormulaARR = MRR × 12
    VARIABLEWHAT IT IS
    MRRMonthly Recurring Revenue — total subscription revenue normalized to a monthly figure

    This is universal across all SaaS analytics tools. North Metric, ChartMogul, Stripe, and every other platform use the same formula. There is no alternative definition.

    Worked example

    Two active subscriptions on March 15:

    SubscriptionPlanBilledMRR
    Sub AProMonthly$29.00
    Sub BStarterAnnual ($126/yr)$10.50
    Total MRR$39.50
    ExampleARR = $39.50 × 12 = $474.00

    This value was cross-validated against four independent sources — North Metric, Stripe, and two leading SaaS analytics platforms. All agree on $39.50 MRR, producing $474.00 ARR.

    How it’s computed

    ARR inherits its value entirely from MRR. The computation pipeline is:

    VARIABLEWHAT IT IS
    Step 1Reconstruct active subscriptions at the snapshot timestamp
    Step 2Normalize each subscription's price to monthly (annual ÷ 12, quarterly ÷ 3, etc.)
    Step 3Apply active coupons and discounts
    Step 4Sum all normalized amounts → MRR
    Step 5Multiply by 12 → ARR

    See the MRR guide for the full normalization pipeline, discount handling, and edge cases.

    ARR Movement

    ARR Movement is MRR Movement × 12. The same five-component waterfall applies:

    ARR MovementARR Movement = (New + Expansion + Reactivation − Contraction − Churn) × 12

    Every MRR movement component is multiplied by 12 for the ARR view. The classification rules are identical — a $500 churn event in MRR becomes a $6,000 churn event in ARR Movement.

    ARR vs MRR — when to use which

    ARR and MRR measure the same thing at different scales. They never disagree — ARR is always exactly 12× MRR. The choice is about context.

    ARRMRR
    ScaleAnnual ($474 → $474K → $1M)Monthly ($39.50 → $39.5K → $83K)
    Primary audienceInvestors, board, fundraisingOperations, product, CS teams
    When to useStrategic planning, milestones, comparablesMonth-to-month changes, churn, expansion
    Growth trackingYear-over-year trajectoryMonth-over-month growth rate

    Common ARR mistakes

    1. Summing the last 12 months of revenue. ARR is not trailing-twelve-months revenue. It’s current MRR × 12 — a forward-looking projection. An account that started 3 months ago with $10K MRR has $120K ARR, even though total historical revenue is only $30K.
    2. Counting one-time revenue. Setup fees, implementation charges, and one-time add-ons inflate ARR if included. Only recurring subscription amounts should feed into MRR, and therefore ARR.
    3. Using different multipliers for different billing intervals. The multiplier is always 12, regardless of whether your customers pay monthly, quarterly, or annually. The normalization to monthly happens at the MRR level.
    4. Mixing ARR and MRR growth rates. A 10% MRR growth rate is not a 10% ARR growth rate over a year — it compounds monthly. 10% monthly MRR growth is ~214% annual ARR growth. Quote the same metric consistently.

    Frequently asked questions

    What’s the difference between ARR and MRR?

    ARR = MRR × 12. They measure the same recurring revenue at different scales — ARR is the annualized view of the exact same data. Use MRR for monthly operational decisions like tracking churn and expansion, and ARR for annual planning, fundraising, and investor communication.

    Is ARR a projection or a sum?

    ARR is a forward-looking projection based on current MRR, not a sum of past revenue. It answers “if nothing changed, how much would you earn over the next year?” A company that started 3 months ago with $10K MRR has $120K ARR, even though total revenue collected is only $30K. Confusing ARR with trailing-twelve-months revenue is one of the most common SaaS reporting mistakes.

    Does North Metric adjust the ARR multiplier for billing intervals?

    No. The multiplier is always 12, regardless of whether your customers pay monthly, quarterly, or annually. A $1,200/year plan is already normalized to $100/month at the MRR level, then multiplied by 12 to get $1,200 ARR. The roundtrip is correct by construction — normalization happens once at the MRR layer, and ARR simply scales it.

    What counts as “recurring” in ARR?

    Subscription amounts — charges that repeat on a predictable billing cycle — plus metered usage, counted as the average of each usage customer’s last 3 metered invoices. One-time fees, setup charges, and implementation revenue are excluded. If it doesn’t recur, it doesn’t belong in ARR. North Metric derives this automatically from your Stripe subscriptions and invoices, so non-recurring charges are filtered out during the MRR normalization step.

    What is a good ARR growth rate?

    The “triple triple double double” benchmark suggests tripling ARR from $1M to $3M to $9M, then doubling to $18M and $36M. Reality varies widely by market and stage. Focus on your MRR growth rate and net revenue retention — if retention is strong and growth is consistent, ARR milestones will follow naturally.

    From metric to action

    North Metric ranks your paying Stripe customers by money at risk, so you see who is likely to leave before this number moves. See how churn prediction works.

    Further reading

    Related metrics

    All metrics →
    SAAS METRIC

    Monthly recurring revenue (MRR)

    MRR = sum of each active subscription's normalized monthly amount, net of discountsThe monthly subscription revenue that ARR is built from.Open metric →
    SAAS METRIC

    MRR movement

    MRR Movement = New MRR + Expansion MRR + Reactivation MRR − Contraction MRR − Churn MRRThe five-component waterfall that decomposes your MRR changes month over month.Open metric →
    SAAS METRIC

    Quick ratio

    Quick Ratio = (New Business MRR + Expansion MRR) ÷ (Churn MRR + Contraction MRR)Growth efficiency — how much new revenue you add per dollar lost.Open metric →
    See the customers behind your ARR.Actions off until you turn them onGet your free churn report →